Looks like I am starting to get the ship righted. Outright dog win with Fresno last night.
5-8 for the season.
Looks like a big card today and hopefully I'm at .500 by the end of the day.
Boston College (+9')
liked this early in the week, but now it seems like a popular play.
BC is 7-1 ATS away after losing as a Favorite. They are also 5-1 ATS as a dog of 9.5 or less off a favorite loss.
PSU is 2-6 ATS L8 against the Big East.
I think BC keeps this close b/c of their huge edge in the trenches. PSU has an O-line in which all 5 starters got their first start against Temple LW. They take on a very good BC D-Line. Plus, PSU has to replace 3 NFL draft choices on the D-Line. They allowed Temple to rush for 162 yards.
BC pretty much controlled Wake Forest for most of the game. BC had a 28-15 1st Down edge and a 448-316 yardage edge.
This could be a lookahead for Penn State since they go to Lincoln next week.
Purdue (-10')
I think this line is low b/c of BG's impressive offensive display versus Eastern Kentucky LW. However, the Boilers return 9 starters on defense and one of their new starters (Sr. SLB Gilbert Gardner) started 18 games in his 1st 2 years at Purdue. They are also 18-10-2 ATS as a HF under Joe Tiller.
Purdue should have a better offense, defense and especially special teams this year. I think this line is low b/c of the loss of Joey Harris. However, Jerod Void and Brandon Jones should pick up the slack nicely. They combined for 824 yards and 13 TD's between them LY and Void is a pretty solid back around the goal line (10 total TD's).
Purdue creates matchup problems for BG with really tall WR's. Standeford is 6-4 and true frosh Kyle Ingraham is 6-9.
Northwestern (+8)
The Cats lost 52-3 in Colorado Springs LY. In that game, they lost their best defensive player, MLB Pat Durr, for the season on a cheap cut block. NW returns 9 starters on defense and 7 on offense.
I think people are looking too much at NW's mediocre performance versus Kansas LW. However, that game was played in pouring rainstorm and the Cats forced 5 turnovers for a +4 margin.
Both teams can run the ball effectively with Jason Wright gaining 196 yards on 41 carries for 4 TD's. Meanwhile, AFA rushed for 380 (74 carries) yards against d-1AA Wofford.
However, I trust Basanez more as a passer than I do Chance Harridge. Basanez was the #1 freshman passer in terms of passing yards (2,204).
AF is 23-33 ATS as a favorite off a win.
I see a high-scoring, close game here.
Auburn (-8')
After the Tigers were dominated LW, everyone is saying that they are overrated. I think the Tigers take out their aggression on a banged-up and young Ga Tech team today.
Auburn is 7-3 ATS as an AF since 1996. They are also 6-1 ATS away off a favorite loss. Auburn will be out to prove a point today. They still have a good rushing attack against an injury-depleted DL for the Rambling Wreck.
UCLA (+3)
Same thing with the CU game LW. The line looks small for the favorite. However, Barnett is only 9-8ATS as a HF at CU. The Buffs are also 1-6 ATS their L7 home openers and come off the huge win that they have prepared for all offseason. I see a letdown spot here today.
The Bruins are 24-9 ATS their L33 against non-conf foes. This is also a revenge game for the Bruins since they lost at home 31-17 LY when the Buffs were an +11' dog.
UCLA now has 3 former Buff assistants that know their system well including RB Coach Eric Bienemy, their WR coach Embree and their strength coach.
The Bruins have 14 returning starters on offense and defense.
UCLA is 5-1 ATS their L6 as a road dog.
Washington (-24')
The Hoosiers are in for a beating here. DiNardo was talking in the Indiana papers about buying out of these games. That is not a good sign. IU had to travel to Hartford, CT LW and now go to Seattle. That is 6,432 miles in 2 weeks.
For IU, 16 true or redhsirt frosh played versus UConn LW. The Hoosiers' best 2 players in the secondary, Joe Gonzalez and Herana-Daze Jones, also look to be out. That means that a true frosh and a walk-on senior will start. IU has 17 true or RS frosh on the 2-deep.
Tennessee (-19)
This should be blowout city. Herd QB Stan Hill put up big numbers LW, but also threw 3 INT and lost 2 fumbles against Division 1-AA Hofstra. Marshall has never played in front of a bigger crowd.
Marshall is only 3-7 ATS as a road dog since 1998. They are also 0-5 ATS in their L5 non-conf lined games and 0-7 ATS their L7 lined games in September. They are also 0-6 ATS as an AD the L4Y.
I don't think Tennessee will be looking ahead to the Gators since they have a bye week next week.
Colorado State (+2')
Colorado State put up 585 total yards LW against Colorado and Cal's defense only returned 2 starters. The Rams are 11-4-1 ATS as a road dog sine 1998. They are also 10-2-1 ATS as RDs of 7 or less.
Meanwhile, Cal is only 14-28 ATS their L42 as a fav and are 8-14 ATS the L22 at home in September.
The Rams get back on track here.
Oklahoma State (-20)
Wyoming has one of the worst defenses in the country and Okla State will be wanting to pour it on after being dominated LW.
OK ST is 10-2 ATS in 1st of B2B home games. They are also 6-1 ATS off a DD loss and 4-1 ATS as a DD favorite.
Florida State (-14')
The Noles are out to prove a huge point this year and their defense is very stout. They are 11-1 ATS as a conference fav of 14.5 or less.
Oklahoma (-7')
This line is daring you to take Bama, but the Sooners may have the best defense in the country. I think Bama is a little put of their league here.
San Jose State (+13)
The Spartans come off a 65-3 blowout at Florida LW. However, this reminds me of the situation LY when San Jose St was blown out at Stanford LY and then won at Illinois as a 23+ pt dog.
They are 5-1 ATS as a road dog in Palo Alto.
Meanwhile, Stanford is 3-14 ATS as DD favs and Buddy Teevens was only 6-17-1 ATS at home during his tenure at Tulane.
San Jose has already played 2 games and Stanford is just opening the season. Plus, the Cardinal has issues at QB. Their starter LY, Kyle Matter, is now #3 and their other starter Chris Lewis is about to lose the job to redshirt frosh Trent Edwards.
This one stays close.
5-8 for the season.
Looks like a big card today and hopefully I'm at .500 by the end of the day.
Boston College (+9')
liked this early in the week, but now it seems like a popular play.
BC is 7-1 ATS away after losing as a Favorite. They are also 5-1 ATS as a dog of 9.5 or less off a favorite loss.
PSU is 2-6 ATS L8 against the Big East.
I think BC keeps this close b/c of their huge edge in the trenches. PSU has an O-line in which all 5 starters got their first start against Temple LW. They take on a very good BC D-Line. Plus, PSU has to replace 3 NFL draft choices on the D-Line. They allowed Temple to rush for 162 yards.
BC pretty much controlled Wake Forest for most of the game. BC had a 28-15 1st Down edge and a 448-316 yardage edge.
This could be a lookahead for Penn State since they go to Lincoln next week.
Purdue (-10')
I think this line is low b/c of BG's impressive offensive display versus Eastern Kentucky LW. However, the Boilers return 9 starters on defense and one of their new starters (Sr. SLB Gilbert Gardner) started 18 games in his 1st 2 years at Purdue. They are also 18-10-2 ATS as a HF under Joe Tiller.
Purdue should have a better offense, defense and especially special teams this year. I think this line is low b/c of the loss of Joey Harris. However, Jerod Void and Brandon Jones should pick up the slack nicely. They combined for 824 yards and 13 TD's between them LY and Void is a pretty solid back around the goal line (10 total TD's).
Purdue creates matchup problems for BG with really tall WR's. Standeford is 6-4 and true frosh Kyle Ingraham is 6-9.
Northwestern (+8)
The Cats lost 52-3 in Colorado Springs LY. In that game, they lost their best defensive player, MLB Pat Durr, for the season on a cheap cut block. NW returns 9 starters on defense and 7 on offense.
I think people are looking too much at NW's mediocre performance versus Kansas LW. However, that game was played in pouring rainstorm and the Cats forced 5 turnovers for a +4 margin.
Both teams can run the ball effectively with Jason Wright gaining 196 yards on 41 carries for 4 TD's. Meanwhile, AFA rushed for 380 (74 carries) yards against d-1AA Wofford.
However, I trust Basanez more as a passer than I do Chance Harridge. Basanez was the #1 freshman passer in terms of passing yards (2,204).
AF is 23-33 ATS as a favorite off a win.
I see a high-scoring, close game here.
Auburn (-8')
After the Tigers were dominated LW, everyone is saying that they are overrated. I think the Tigers take out their aggression on a banged-up and young Ga Tech team today.
Auburn is 7-3 ATS as an AF since 1996. They are also 6-1 ATS away off a favorite loss. Auburn will be out to prove a point today. They still have a good rushing attack against an injury-depleted DL for the Rambling Wreck.
UCLA (+3)
Same thing with the CU game LW. The line looks small for the favorite. However, Barnett is only 9-8ATS as a HF at CU. The Buffs are also 1-6 ATS their L7 home openers and come off the huge win that they have prepared for all offseason. I see a letdown spot here today.
The Bruins are 24-9 ATS their L33 against non-conf foes. This is also a revenge game for the Bruins since they lost at home 31-17 LY when the Buffs were an +11' dog.
UCLA now has 3 former Buff assistants that know their system well including RB Coach Eric Bienemy, their WR coach Embree and their strength coach.
The Bruins have 14 returning starters on offense and defense.
UCLA is 5-1 ATS their L6 as a road dog.
Washington (-24')
The Hoosiers are in for a beating here. DiNardo was talking in the Indiana papers about buying out of these games. That is not a good sign. IU had to travel to Hartford, CT LW and now go to Seattle. That is 6,432 miles in 2 weeks.
For IU, 16 true or redhsirt frosh played versus UConn LW. The Hoosiers' best 2 players in the secondary, Joe Gonzalez and Herana-Daze Jones, also look to be out. That means that a true frosh and a walk-on senior will start. IU has 17 true or RS frosh on the 2-deep.
Tennessee (-19)
This should be blowout city. Herd QB Stan Hill put up big numbers LW, but also threw 3 INT and lost 2 fumbles against Division 1-AA Hofstra. Marshall has never played in front of a bigger crowd.
Marshall is only 3-7 ATS as a road dog since 1998. They are also 0-5 ATS in their L5 non-conf lined games and 0-7 ATS their L7 lined games in September. They are also 0-6 ATS as an AD the L4Y.
I don't think Tennessee will be looking ahead to the Gators since they have a bye week next week.
Colorado State (+2')
Colorado State put up 585 total yards LW against Colorado and Cal's defense only returned 2 starters. The Rams are 11-4-1 ATS as a road dog sine 1998. They are also 10-2-1 ATS as RDs of 7 or less.
Meanwhile, Cal is only 14-28 ATS their L42 as a fav and are 8-14 ATS the L22 at home in September.
The Rams get back on track here.
Oklahoma State (-20)
Wyoming has one of the worst defenses in the country and Okla State will be wanting to pour it on after being dominated LW.
OK ST is 10-2 ATS in 1st of B2B home games. They are also 6-1 ATS off a DD loss and 4-1 ATS as a DD favorite.
Florida State (-14')
The Noles are out to prove a huge point this year and their defense is very stout. They are 11-1 ATS as a conference fav of 14.5 or less.
Oklahoma (-7')
This line is daring you to take Bama, but the Sooners may have the best defense in the country. I think Bama is a little put of their league here.
San Jose State (+13)
The Spartans come off a 65-3 blowout at Florida LW. However, this reminds me of the situation LY when San Jose St was blown out at Stanford LY and then won at Illinois as a 23+ pt dog.
They are 5-1 ATS as a road dog in Palo Alto.
Meanwhile, Stanford is 3-14 ATS as DD favs and Buddy Teevens was only 6-17-1 ATS at home during his tenure at Tulane.
San Jose has already played 2 games and Stanford is just opening the season. Plus, the Cardinal has issues at QB. Their starter LY, Kyle Matter, is now #3 and their other starter Chris Lewis is about to lose the job to redshirt frosh Trent Edwards.
This one stays close.
